# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1953_S141
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES 141

chart below illustrates the steady decline in the number of
who have completed the entire six years of Synod’s preparatory

a
a Se
lo
a
|
P11 xe
NK] trend
PN

44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Se

i—-Annual Percentage of Total Number of Fretheological Graduates
“‘Preparal Schools Who Complete ix-Year etheologi gram,
tory 1943 to 1953

“Source: Reports from Preparatory Schools (1953, estimated)

a

‘ore. — The eleven-year trend was calculated by the least squares
od; using an exponential equation of the form, Y = ab*. The values
s equation are: Log Y = 1.697759—.010833%;* from which Y =
(—1.02526)*. Thus, the annual rate of decrease in the percentage
»graduates who completed the six-year program is 2.5%. If this
continues to 1957, the normal percentage of total pretheological
ates who completed the six-year program will be 39.8%, and the
je of those who completed less than the six-year program will

% Origin at 1948.

HART VII is based on the following data:
i Percentage of Total
. Preparatory School
Pretheological Graduates
Who Completed
Six-Year Program

nn na 550

itis only 1.71%. Most significant of all is the fact that the rate
in admissions to the freshman and sophomore high school

ctually shows a decline of 2.19% for the period covered. °

‘omposite chart (VI) summarizes the data exhibited in the

us charts. ,

final chart (VII) exhibits the net effect of these factors on

pattern of the ministerial graduates coming from the