# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S867
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

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168 SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES

Assumption No. 3.

The numerical growth of Synod, the recent increase in
birth rate, the general acceptance of women teachers, the syn
ically approved expansion efforts, and diminishing tenure rg
are significant factors materially affecting the demand placed uy
Synod’s teacher training program. ae,

A study of these and several related factors * seems to indicat
that the “emergency” which created the teacher shortage is |
an emergency at all, but rather a chronic condition which may
require drastic changes in our approach to the solution of
problem of providing adequate teacher training and supply. Q

1. Growth of communicant membership in Synod. The con
municant membership estimates proposed in June, 1$
for future ministerial candidate demand studies were
(See Chart No. 12.)

2. Birth rate in Synod. Forecasts of the population of tk
United States, 1945—1975, by the Bureau of Census, shov
the past birth rate per 1,000 females between the ages |
and 49, and forecasts the ftiture birth rate. A study of
the “birth rate” in Synod, based on a ratio of Baptisms é
communicant membership, indicates variations similar
the national birth rate. The forecasts made in these studies"
are proportional to the national forecasts. By applying thesei,‘#

year. (See Charts No. 11 and 12.)

3. Children of school age. The total number of children of?
school age was estimated by totaling 8 years of child Bap

6 through 13 years; kindergarten and 9th grade, not included
(See Chart No. 13.) .

the past fifteen years indicated that approximately 30 pe
cent of the children of school age attended our parochial
schools. In the 1947 convention, Synod resolved that “

‘as an
attainable objective for the next ‘twenty

-five years, Synod

* See additional factors listed in Plan C, “The Teachers Colleges,”
page 187,