# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S865
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

166 SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES

arations to accommodate this number by 1964, we are at 4
worst only anticipating our most conservative predictions by
eleven years. If, on the other hand, the higher and more #
optimistic predictions of synodical growth and ministerial 4
needs should prove in time to have been correct, we shall -‘
have made at least the minimum preparations for them be- *
fore it is too late.

3. The achievement of an institutional capacity to produce 200 ;
graduates by 1964 absolutely requires: ;

a. The establishment and operation of a senior college no .
later than 1957;

b. The immediate implementation of substantially the pol-
icies which the Board for Higher Education is recom- .
mending to Synod in 1950.

4. Synod must insist that the Board for Higher Education dur- -
ing the next ten years, from 1950 to 1960, closely and reg-
ularly observe the actual growth of Synod and its needs for
ministerial graduates, and that the Board regularly check .
‘the developing experiences of Synod against the tentatively -.
accepted forecast of 1950. This regular comparison of actual
events with predicted events will gradually disclose the’ ;
measure of the accuracy of the 1950 forecast (third forecast).
Thus it will be possible, intelligently and confidently, as ,

time moves on, to advance the more precise planning farther J

and farther into the future. -

The 1950 forecast should furnish a tentative course for the;

next thirty years, to which we can prudently and safely |

commit ourselves up to 1964, but which we shall have to |
adjust from time to time during the next ten years so that |
we may then confidently plan beyond 1964. ;

By proceeding in this manner, we shall know our immediate

course, and we shall also have some indication of a-long- 4

range course, from which we shall expect, however, to de- -#

viate as time unfolds events and their meaning.

5. Finally, we should remind ourselves once more that every :
phase of our work depends, under God, on an adequate :
supply of trained workers. The proposals made here are
based solely on experience and future needs in the North:
American parish ministry. The glorious expansion of our %
missions as it is now developing in other parts of the world,
all special services, and any faster rate of growth in our %
local work would require manpower beyond that indicated |
in this report. :