# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S863
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

CHART H
COMPARISON OF THREE FORECASTS OF MINISTERIAL
GRADUATES REQUIRED- 1950-1980
Chart H was prepared by the process of simply drawing a line » ‘dl
between two points, one at 1950 and the other at 1980. This line Z
begins, in 1950, at a number of ministerial graduates lower than . 4
either of the first two forecasts indicate, but at the approximate .7
number of graduates actually expected in 1950. The line ends, in a
1980, at a number of ministerial graduates somewhat lower than’ Pe
is indicated by the second forecast, but considerably higher than a
the first forecast recommends. 3
A numerical comparison of: the three forecasts is provided by 3
the following table. 4
Table 4 “

Estimated Number of Ministerial Graduates Needed at Five-Year a
Intervals, from 1950 to 1980 4

First Second Third ¢
Forecast Forecast Forecast
. 148 184 125
164 207 148
183 233 175
190 262 208
199 294 246 6
208 331 292

220 371 350