# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S858
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES 161

Table 3

‘ (5) (6) @

Year Necessary net increase Necessary replacements Total necessary
a in the total number at 2.7 per cent per year entrants into service
of pastors over the

previous single year

F 1950 85 99 184

B.1955 ea 6 141 207
£1960 _.. a 108 125 233
q 121 141 "262
136 158 294
153 178 331
171 200 371

- The data in column (7) are shown graphically in Chart G; and
‘ these data constitute the forecast of the number of pastors who
. Should enter the service in the years indicated if the assumptions
' which underlie this second forecast are accepted. Since the num-
F bers in column (7) are the total numbers of entrants into service of
¢ all kinds, including the re-entry of pastors who had left the service,
: the figures in column (7) do not show the numbers of candidates
* who should be graduated from the seminaries. That number
: theoretically will be somewhat less in each year than the number
fF shown. But the difference may safely be disregarded. It should
be remembered that the figures in column (7) make no provision
whatever for any pastors or missionaries outside the United States
and Canada, or for any professors, or for any other specialized
pursuits requiring theological preparation. If the latter categories
are considered, the forecast in column (7) might be increased by
perhaps ten per cent to arrive at the desired number of semi-
nary graduates.

The Lutheran Church—Missour! Synod
Board for Higher Education Growth Siudier=Merch 1950

G — NUMBER OF PASTORS REQUIRED FOR ENTRANCE INTO SERVICE, 1950-1980,
TO MAINTAIN RATIO OF 315 COMMUNICANTS PER PASTOR, IF THE
1927-1947 TREND OF GROWTH IN COMMUNICANT MEMBERSHIP CONTINUES
AS IN GRAPH D ;