# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S847
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

148 SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES

The First Forecast of Synod’s Growth and of Its Need
for Ministerial Graduates, 1950 to 1980

CHART NO 1

SHOWING MEMBERSHIP FORECAST BASED ON UGS, Pop,

1600 NS 6
1500p |
4oo|____|____ 0.8. PpPULATION

i

il
|
\
a
Nil
NI
IN

ay
|
:
N
i
i

i
LE
ans
TT

Core

UT
NI

a
S
=
|

8

aa

=

Cc

=

‘)

z
3 |
if

A
c
o
9

CAN.

COMMUNICANTS ( THOUSANDS )
a @ ©
8 eo 8

U.S. POPUL ATION-CHUNDRED THOUSANDS)

500 4

>
‘a
oe |
Ic
| 4
vy
fo)
D
im
a

400
900-10 20 30 40 4750 80

been achieved by the United States on November 1, 1949. This is
far earlier than the time anticipated (about 1955) by the official
releases and estimates which have been used as a basis for the .
following growth study of the Missouri Synod.

It should be borne in mind also that this forecast has reference
only to parish ministers in the United States and Canada and that
it does not attempt to recognize additional needs which will exist
in the various special services (faculties, foreign missions, full-
time executives, etc.) which are performed in our Synod. :

' No attempt is made, in this study, to specify the exact number
of ministers needed in a given year; instead, the estimates are for
average annual needs by decades. cf

It is assumed that more accurate estimates could not be “3%