# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S139
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

136 SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES

Table 3

(5) (6) Mm

Year Necessary net increase Necessary replacements Total necessary
in the total number at 2.7 per cent per year entrants into service <<

of ‘pastors over the 3

previous single year

85 99 184

96 411 207
108 125 233
121 141 262
136 158 294
153 178 331
171 200 371

The data in column (7) are shown graphically in Chart G; ang ®
these data constitute the forecast of the number of pastors who -
should enter the service in the years indicated if the assumptions .
which underlie this second forecast are accepted. Since the num.”
bers in column (7) are the total numbers of entrants into service of
all kinds, including the re-entry of pastors who had left the service, ‘
the figures in column (7) do not show the numbers of candidates.
who'should be graduated from the seminaries. That number’
theoretically will be somewhat less in each year than the number:
shown. But the difference may safely be disregarded. It should:
be remembered that the figures in column (7), make no provision;
whatever for any pastors or missionaries outside the United States:
and Canada, or for any professors, or for any other specialized
pursuits requiring theological preparation. If the latter categori

idered, the forecast in column (7) might be increased

are cons
the desired number of semi-

perhaps ten per cent to arrive at
nary graduates.

The Lutheren Church—Mintovrl Synod
Beard for Higher Eduction Growth Studies—Morch 1950

1979 1975

G— NUMBER OF PASTORS REQUIRED FOR ENTRANCE INTO SERVICE, 1950-1900
TO MAINTAIN RATIO OF 315 COMMUNICANTS PER PASTOR, IF THE
1927-1947 TREND OF GROWTH IN COMMUNICANT MEMBERSHIP CONTINUE

AS IN GRAPH D