# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S138
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES 135

i i Synod
Letteren Church— Missouri
ae fer Higher Educotion Growth Studies—March 1950
beard

F— COMMUNICANTS PER PASTOR WHICH SYNOD WILL HAVE
BETWEEN 1950-1980, IF THE TRENDS FROM 1927-1947
CONTINUE UNCHANGED

Table 2 ’
(2) — @)
Year Estimated number of Estimated number of
Pastors who will be pastors needed to
in service if past provide one pastor for
trends continue every 315 communicants *

1950 3,647 3,661
3,831 4,118
4,024 4,632
4,227 5,210 |
4,440 5,860.
4,664 6,591

1980 4,899 7,097

* If the trend in communicant membership growth continues into
the future.

The significant divergence of the two Sets of figures is im-
mediately apparent.

latter Purpose a replacement rate of 2.7 per cent per year was used,
because this is the modal rate established by the experience of
the past 23 years. The results are the following.