# LCMS Convention Proceedings_St. Louis Missouri_1950_S136
# Machine transcription, uncorrected — CHI Digital Archive (demonstration)

SEMINARIES AND COLLEGES 138

C shows, at the left, the actual growth in the number
of a Scents per pastor; and, at the right, the trend of this
change.

Having determined the laws in terms of which communicant
pastors and missionaries in Service, and the ratio of
members, ;

becomes an easy matter to project these laws into the proximate

future. ‘It should be emphasized again that such a projection is

permissible only in terms of the specific assumptions which have
been stated.

The results of the projection of these laws of growth into the
31 year period, 1950 to 1980, are shown graphically in Charts D,
E, and F. The same data are shown in the following tables, but
at five year intervals.

Table 1
qd) (2) (3)
Year Estimated Estimated Estimated
. number of number of number of
communicant Pastors and communicants
members * missionaries per Pastor ¢
in service ¢
1,153,300 3,647 316.
1,297,200 3,831 339
1,459,100 4,024 363
1,641,200 4,227 3838
1,846,000 4,440 . 416
2,076,300 4,664 445
2,335,400 4,899 477

* Based upon the formula of membership growth.
T Based upon the formula of growth in number of Pastors in service.
+ Determined by dividing column (1) by column (2).

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Sartre.

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